Editorials

  Although yours truly has yet to completely jump on the bull bandwagon (which has revved up recently), I cannot ignore the positive fundamental and technical developments for precious metals. On the fundamental side, the market is essentially pricing in no hikes for 2019 and the start of rate cuts in 2020. For Gold, … Continue reading

  As we’ve been saying, the stock market will have great influence on Gold. It has been easy to see in recent months. The S&P 500 has cracked, losing both its 200-day and 400-day moving averages. Gold and gold stocks have benefitted and gained in recent months even with a stable to rising US … Continue reading

    If we want to know where Gold is going we should follow Gold. Right? How about following gold stocks? At times, they lead Gold. What about the US Dollar? Wrong! In 2019, one market more than any other will impact Gold. That is the stock market. History argues (within the current context) … Continue reading

  In recent days we’ve seen the beginnings of an inversion in the yield curve. The 2-year yield and the 5-year yield have inverted but not yet the the 2-year yield and the 10-year yield, the curve that is watched most. However, “2s and 10s” as bond traders would say appear headed for an … Continue reading

  Recent market and economic developments are positive for Gold and precious metals but conditions are not bullish yet. Bullish conditions and bullish fundamentals would be highlighted by a shift in Fed policy. They aren’t shifting yet. They are slowing, which precedes a shift.   From a market standpoint, we need to see strength … Continue reading

  It is very difficult to pick exact bottoms but there are many tools we can use to help us pinpoint potential bottoms. You don’t hear technical analysts talk about fundamentals but we do for a reason. Major shifts in the primary trend are supported by fundamental shifts, though they can be very hard … Continue reading

  The recent weakness in Gold and gold mining stocks is not over. In fact, we are worried about another leg down getting underway. If that comes to pass, we are positioned to profit from it. But I digress. Long-term oriented investors and speculators should be aware of the near term trends but they … Continue reading

  It has been a rough year for gold stock investors. Since Gold failed to break to the upside and the US Dollar bottomed, gold stocks have been in a strong downtrend. In September they hit two and a half year lows. The oversold condition since then has been corrected but that rebound has … Continue reading

  The US$ index is breaking higher. Its trading at 96.41 as we pen this. A daily close above 96.61 marks a new 52-week high and puts the dollar in position to eventually retest its bull market high at 104. If this strength continues then the relief rally in precious metals could be over. … Continue reading

  It’s no secret that gold mining stocks are historically cheap and have been for several years. Traditional metrics like price to cash flow and price to book value showed that gold stocks in late 2015 were at arguably their cheapest points since the start of the bull market in the 1960s. Other metrics … Continue reading

Gold has struggled to rebound despite an extreme oversold condition and extreme bearish sentiment. Nevertheless, conditions for Gold have not worsened in recent days. In fact, Gold as well as gold stocks appear to be basing for a potential rebound into the holiday season. While some gold bulls expect a major bottom, we aren’t … Continue reading

  Gold stocks failed to breakout in the spring and then brokedown to multi-year lows by September. As autumn beckons, the precious metals sector at large is very oversold and could be starting a rebound. However, the fundamentals are not yet in place for a new bull market. They will be when the Fed … Continue reading